{"id":2184,"date":"2021-06-04T18:44:00","date_gmt":"2021-06-04T10:44:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ukm.my\/jem\/?post_type=article&#038;p=2184"},"modified":"2022-07-27T14:09:37","modified_gmt":"2022-07-27T06:09:37","slug":"ringgit-malaysia-predictability-do-currencies-and-prediction-horizon-matters","status":"publish","type":"article","link":"https:\/\/www.ukm.my\/jem\/article\/ringgit-malaysia-predictability-do-currencies-and-prediction-horizon-matters\/","title":{"rendered":"Ringgit Malaysia Predictability: Do Currencies and Prediction Horizon Matters?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The main objective of this study is to investigate the predictability of Malaysian ringgit against currencies that are regarded as fundamentally unstable. The study is motivated by a hypothesis that postulates the performance of exchange rate predictability is better-off for currencies with weak macroeconomic fundamentals or monetary instability. We employ bootstrap technique as proposed by Mark (1995) and later improved by Kilian (1999) to alleviate statistical inference intricacies inherit in the long horizon forecasting to three different monetary models (flexible, sticky and relative price) for ringgit against selected developing economies\u2019 currencies. The empirical result shows the superiority of sticky price model for all prediction horizons along with the evidence of exchange rate predictability for ringgit against high inflation economies.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"template":"","tags":[96,168,169,170],"jel-code":[],"article-type":[1329],"class_list":["entry","author-jem","post-2184","article","type-article","status-publish","tag-forecasting","tag-foreign-exchange","tag-international-finance","tag-simulation","article-type-normal-article"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Ringgit Malaysia Predictability: Do Currencies and Prediction Horizon Matters? | Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ukm.my\/jem\/article\/ringgit-malaysia-predictability-do-currencies-and-prediction-horizon-matters\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Ringgit Malaysia Predictability: Do Currencies and Prediction Horizon Matters? | Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The main objective of this study is to investigate the predictability of Malaysian ringgit against currencies that are regarded as fundamentally unstable. The study is motivated by a hypothesis that postulates the performance of exchange rate predictability is better-off for currencies with weak macroeconomic fundamentals or monetary instability. We employContinue Reading\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.ukm.my\/jem\/article\/ringgit-malaysia-predictability-do-currencies-and-prediction-horizon-matters\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/Jurnal-Ekonomi-Malaysia-JEM-104142808087485\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2022-07-27T06:09:37+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@EkonomiJurnal\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"1 minute\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ukm.my\\\/jem\\\/article\\\/ringgit-malaysia-predictability-do-currencies-and-prediction-horizon-matters\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ukm.my\\\/jem\\\/article\\\/ringgit-malaysia-predictability-do-currencies-and-prediction-horizon-matters\\\/\",\"name\":\"Ringgit Malaysia Predictability: Do Currencies and Prediction Horizon Matters? | Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ukm.my\\\/jem\\\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2021-06-04T10:44:00+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2022-07-27T06:09:37+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ukm.my\\\/jem\\\/article\\\/ringgit-malaysia-predictability-do-currencies-and-prediction-horizon-matters\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ukm.my\\\/jem\\\/article\\\/ringgit-malaysia-predictability-do-currencies-and-prediction-horizon-matters\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ukm.my\\\/jem\\\/article\\\/ringgit-malaysia-predictability-do-currencies-and-prediction-horizon-matters\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ukm.my\\\/jem\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Articles\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ukm.my\\\/jem\\\/article\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":3,\"name\":\"Ringgit Malaysia Predictability: Do Currencies and Prediction Horizon Matters?\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ukm.my\\\/jem\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ukm.my\\\/jem\\\/\",\"name\":\"Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia\",\"description\":\"Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia\",\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ukm.my\\\/jem\\\/#organization\"},\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ukm.my\\\/jem\\\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ukm.my\\\/jem\\\/#organization\",\"name\":\"Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ukm.my\\\/jem\\\/\",\"logo\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ukm.my\\\/jem\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ukm.my\\\/jem\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2021\\\/05\\\/cropped-browser-icon-letter-1.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ukm.my\\\/jem\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2021\\\/05\\\/cropped-browser-icon-letter-1.png\",\"width\":512,\"height\":308,\"caption\":\"Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.ukm.my\\\/jem\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\"},\"sameAs\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.facebook.com\\\/Jurnal-Ekonomi-Malaysia-JEM-104142808087485\",\"https:\\\/\\\/x.com\\\/EkonomiJurnal\"]}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Ringgit Malaysia Predictability: Do Currencies and Prediction Horizon Matters? | Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/www.ukm.my\/jem\/article\/ringgit-malaysia-predictability-do-currencies-and-prediction-horizon-matters\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"Ringgit Malaysia Predictability: Do Currencies and Prediction Horizon Matters? | Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia","og_description":"The main objective of this study is to investigate the predictability of Malaysian ringgit against currencies that are regarded as fundamentally unstable. 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